As Rahul Gandhi seems positive about him contesting from Wayanad, the statistics of Wayanad’s populations can speculate how and why has Rahul Gandhi played safe and chosen to contest from Wayanad.
The speculated calculation behind Lok Sabha’s Wayanad seat!
Wayanad Lok Sabha seat falls under 20 seats of Kerela. Wayanad is considered as Loksabha seat under which Kerala’s Kozhikode, Vayanad and Mallapuram districts are covered.
Wayanad Lok Sabha seat has a total population of 18 lakh 27 thousand 651 people whose rural and urban bifurcation falls respectively around 93.15% and 6.85 %. It is observed that Wayanad Loksabha seat covers maximum Muslim population that fall as 57.98% in the area. There are 7.01% SC and 9.3% ST. Wayand Loksabha seat actually consists of total 12 lakh 49 thousand 420 voters where in there are 6 lakh, 14 thousand 822 males and 6 lakh 34 thousand 598 females.
|Population : 1827651 Rural: 93.15 % Urban: 6.85%|
|SC – 7.01% ST : 9.3 %|
|Voters – 1249420 Male Voters – 614822 Female Voters – 634598|
|Muslim – 57.98%|
Last 2 Loksabha Elections’ data may define a calculation on Victory and Defeat of Wayanad Seat chosen by the safe player Rahul Gandhi!
Wayanad 2014: Margin – 20870
|Total Voters:124942 Voting: 915006(73.2%) ValidVote: 904271(72.4%)|
M I Shanavas Congress 377,035
Sathyan Mokeri Communist Party 356,165
P R Rasmilnath BJP 80,752
P V Anvar Independent 37,123
Jaleel Neelambra Social Democaratic 14,327
There are 10735 NOTA Votes.
Wayanad 2009 : Margin: 153,439 (18.6%)
M.I. Shanavas INC 410,703
Advocate. M. Rahmathulla Communist Party 257,264
K. Muraleedharan NCP 99,663 99,663
C. Vasudevan Master BJP 31,687 31,687
Rahmathulla Pooladan Independent 6,459
Hence, it can be observed from the above data that in 2009 and 2014 Congress has pulled the victory with a good margine in both the Lok Sabha Elections from Wayanad.
Speculated reasons for Rahul Gandhi playing safe by contesting from Wayanad :
As Smriti Irani is contesting from Amethi, it gives Congress a strong fight from BJP as Rahul Gandhi is also contesting from Amethi. This may turn Rahul Gandhi to Wayanad that has been a stronghold of Congress since last few Lok Sabha Polls.
It is observed that Indian Muslim League has always received support of Congress and INC has kept its better campaign regimes pertaining to the problems of Minorities specifically Muslims and the Scheduled Castes and Tribes.
This makes Rahul Gandhi and Congress take an upper hand towards victory by contesting from the Wayanad Loksabha Seat. It should be also noted that DMK in Tamil Nadu, Muslim League in Kerala and JDS in Karnataka are allies of Congress.