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April 2: The new “Liberation Day,” according to US President Donald Trump!

April 2: The new “Liberation Day,” according to US President Donald Trump!

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Virendra Pandit

 

New Delhi: US President Donald Trump has termed April 2 as America’s (Third) “Liberation Day,” claiming that Wednesday will be a moment when he plans to roll out a set of tariffs that he promises will free the United States from foreign goods.

His announcements have worried America’s economists about the future of the US economy. For, despite Trump’s assertions that these tariffs will foster jobs and domestic manufacturing, there is considerable scepticism regarding their long-term effectiveness on the US economy, the media reported on Monday.

While Trump insists that these tariffs will help American businesses and workers, market experts warn that they could lead to higher prices for consumers and potentially sluggish economic growth.

According to reports, the details of Trump’s next round of import taxes are still sketchy. Most analysts say average US families would have to absorb the cost of his tariffs in the form of higher prices and lower incomes. But an undeterred Trump is inviting CEOs to the White House to say they are investing billions of dollars in new projects to avoid the import taxes.

It is also possible that the tariffs are short-lived if Trump feels he can cut a deal after imposing them. At stake are family budgets, America’s prominence as the world’s leading financial power and the structure of the global economy.

What exactly does Trump plan to do? He wants to announce import taxes, including “reciprocal” tariffs that would match the rates charged by other countries and account for other subsidies. Trump has talked about taxing the European Union, South Korea, Brazil and India, among other countries. He announced 25 percent auto tariffs last week.

“This is the beginning of the Liberation Day in America,” Trump said. “We’re going to charge countries for doing business in the US and taking our jobs, wealth… and a lot of things. They’ve taken so much out of our country, friend and foe. And, frankly, friend has been oftentimes much worse than foe.”

In an interview with NBC News, Trump said it did not bother him if tariffs caused vehicle prices to rise because autos with more US content could possibly be more competitively priced. He also suggested that he will be flexible with his tariffs, saying he will treat other nations better than they treated the US.

 

Trump Tariffs

 

The US President plans to tax imported pharmaceutical drugs, copper and lumber. He has put forth a 25 percent tariff on any country that imports oil from Venezuela, even though the US also does so. Imports from China are being charged an additional 20 percent tax because of its role in fentanyl production.

Trump has imposed separate tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico for the stated reason of stopping drug smuggling and illegal immigration, and also expanded his 2018 steel and aluminium tariffs to 25 percent on all imports.

Some aides suggest the tariffs are tools for negotiation on trade and border security; others say the revenues will help reduce the federal budget deficit. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says they will force other nations to show Trump “respect.”

But most economists say the tariffs would get passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for autos, groceries, housing and others. Corporate profits could be lower and growth more sluggish. Trump maintains that more companies would open factories to avoid taxes, though that process could take three years or more.

White House trade adviser Peter Navarro told Fox News Sunday that the auto tariffs would raise USD 100 billion annually and the other tariffs would bring in about USD 600 billion per year, or about USD 6 trillion over 10 years. As a share of the economy, that would be the largest tax increase since the World War II, said Jessica Riedl, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has suggested that tariffs would be a one-time price adjustment, rather than the start of an inflationary spiral. But his conclusion rests on tariffs being brief or contained, rather than leading other countries to retaliate.

Many see the tariffs as destructive for the global economy, even if they are prepared to impose their own countermeasures.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Trump’s tariff threats had ended the partnership between his country and the US, even as the President on Friday talked about his phone call with Carney in relatively positive terms. Canada already has announced retaliatory tariffs.

French President Emmanuel Macron said the tariffs were “not coherent” and would mean “breaking value chains, creating inflation in the short term and destroying jobs. It’s not good for the American economy, nor for the European, Canadian or Mexican economies.” Yet Macron said his nation would defend itself with the goal of dismantling the tariffs.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has avoided the tit-for-tat responses on tariffs, but she sees it as critical to defend jobs in her country.

The Chinese government said Trump’s tariffs would harm the global trading system and would not fix the economic challenges identified by Trump.

 

Trump’s third “Liberation Day!”

 

Based off Trump’s public statements, April 2 is at least the third “Liberation Day” that he has identified.

At a rally last year in Nevada, he said the day of the Presidential election (November 5) would be the “Liberation Day in America.”

He later gave his inauguration the same label, declaring in his address: “For American citizens, January 20, 2025, is the Liberation Day.”

His repeated designation of the term is a sign of just how much importance Trump places on tariffs. He sees his tariffs as providing national redemption, but the slumping consumer confidence and stock market indicate that much of the public believes the US economy will pay the price for his ambitions.

 

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