Virendra Pandit
New Delhi: Leading US newspaper, The Wall Street Journal, has predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is, after its successive victories in 2014, and 2019, headed for a repeat victory in 2024 also in India.
From the standpoint of American national interests, India’s chief ruling party is the world’s most important foreign political party, and it may also be the least understood one because it grew out of a political and cultural history unfamiliar to most non-Indians, author Walter Russel Mead said in an opinion piece in WSJ, the media reported on Tuesday.
“For the foreseeable future, the BJP will be calling the shots in a country without whose help American efforts to balance rising Chinese power are likely to fall short.”
India is emerging both as a leading economic power and, along with Japan, as the linchpin of American strategy in the Indo-Pacific.
The BJP’s electoral dominance reflects the success of a once obscure and marginal social movement of national renewal based on efforts by generations of social thinkers and activists to chart a distinctively ‘Hindu path’ to modernization, the article said.
Some of the BJP’s most striking recent political successes have come in predominantly Christian states in India’s northeast. The BJP government of Uttar Pradesh, a state with a population of about 200 million, enjoys strong support from Shia Muslims. The RSS activists have played a significant role in efforts to fight caste discrimination, he said.
“After an intensive series of meetings with senior BJP and RSS leaders, as well as some of their critics, I am convinced that Americans and Westerners generally need to engage much more deeply with a complex and powerful movement,” Mead wrote.
From a fringe of mostly marginalized intellectuals and religious enthusiasts, the RSS has become perhaps the “most powerful civil-society organization in the world.” Its rural and urban development programs, religious education and revival efforts, and civic activism, staffed by thousands of volunteers from all walks of life, have succeeded in forming the political consciousness and focusing the energies of hundreds of millions of people.”
Recalling his meeting with Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat, Mead writes, “The movement seems to have reached a crossroads. When I met with Yogi Adityanath, a Hindu monk serving as chief minister of Uttar Pradesh, considered one of the most radical voices in the movement–and sometimes spoken of as a successor to 72-year-old Prime Minister Modi–the conversation was about bringing investment and development to his state.
“Similarly, Mohan Bhagwat, the spiritual leader of the RSS, spoke to me about the need to accelerate India’s economic growth, and disavowed the idea that religious minorities should suffer discrimination or loss of civil rights”.
“How these statements by top leaders to a foreign journalist will percolate down to the grassroots is impossible to predict. But I did get the impression that the leadership of a once-marginalized movement wants to position itself as the natural establishment of a rising power and is looking to engage deeply and fruitfully with the outside world without losing touch with its social and political base,” he writes.
“The invitation to engage with the BJP and RSS is one that Americans can’t afford to reject. As tensions with China rise, the US needs India as both an economic and political partner. Understanding the ideology and the trajectory of the Hindu nationalist movement is as important for business leaders and investors seeking to engage economically with India as it is for diplomats and policymakers wanting to put the strategic relationship on a stable footing,” he added.