The Government that surged in power in 2014 is likely to emerge as the single largest party with 238 seats in 2019 elections. BJP ( Bharatiya Janata Party) has likely lost 44 of its total seats in comparison to 2014 where it bagged 282 seats.
According to India TV CNX Opinion Poll, the UPA that won 80 seats in 2014 is likely to win 126 seats, a jump of 46. The Congress Party which saw itself getting reduced to 44 seats in the current Lok Sabha still fails to enter the three-digit mark. The Rahul Gandhi-led Congress is projected to win 82 seats, gaining 38 seats. The UPA, that includes Congress, DMK, TDP, JD(S), RJD, JMM, NCP, National Conference, IUML, and other smaller parties is projected to win 126 seats.
There is a significant gain for Mayawati’s Bahujan Samajwadi Party as BSP wins 16 seats in UP that had failed to win seats in UP in 2014. Akhilesh led Samajwadi Party is likely to win 18 seats. Hence Bahujan Samajwadi Party has already announced a poll tie up this time.
BJP, that won 71 seats in Uttar Pradesh in 2014 General Elections, is likely to end up at 40. A loss of 31 seats in UP.
Here is the state wise speculation of India TV CNX opinion poll
Uttar Pradesh: BJP 40, BSP 16, SP 18, Congress 4, RLD 1, Apna Dal 1, Total 80.
Uttarakhand: BJP 5. Total 5.
Rajasthan: BJP 20, Congress 5, Total 25.
West Bengal: Trinamool Congress 30, BJP 12, Total 42.
Odisha: Biju Janata Dal 14, BJP 7, Total 21.
Madhya Pradesh: BJP 23, Congress 6, Total 29.
Chhattisgarh: BJP 6, Congress 5, Total 11.
Punjab: Congress 9, Akali Dal 3, AAP 1, BJP 0, Total 13.
Haryana: BJP 9, Congress 1, Total 10.
Bihar: BJP 15, RJD 8, JD(U) 12, Congress 2, LJP 3, Total 40.
Jharkhand: BJP 8, JMM 3, Congress 2, JVM(P) 1. Total 14.
Gujarat : BJP 26, Congress 0. Total 26.
Himachal Pradesh: BJP 4, Congress 0, Total 4.
Maharashtra: BJP 22, Shiv Sena 10, Congress 9, NCP 7, Total 48.
Goa: BJP 2, Congress 0, Total 2.
Tamil Nadu: DMK 16, AIADMK 12, AMMK 2, Congress 5, BJP 1, PMK 2, Other-1.Total
39.
Andhra Pradesh: YSR Congress 22, TDP 3, Congress 0, Total 25.
Telangana: Telangana Rashtra Samithi 14, AIMIM 1, Congress 2, Total 17.
Karnataka: BJP 13, Congress 13, JD(S) 2, Total 28.
Kerala:
UDF 12, LDF 7, BJP 1, Total 20.
Jammu & Kashmir: BJP 2, NC 1, Congress 2, PDP 1, Total 6.
Assam: BJP 8, AIUDF 2, Congress 4, Total 14.
Other North East states: BJP 3, Congress 3, MNF 1, NPP 1,
CPI(M) 1, NDPP 1, SDF 1. Total 11.
Delhi: BJP 7, Congress 0, AAP 0. Total 7.
Other Union Territories: BJP 4, Congress 2. Total 6.